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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 41%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Blundellcaught · Harry Chamberlain · Michael Rippon5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harry Chamberlain · b Michael Rippon | 41 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 164.00 |
| SL Morgancaught · Matt Boyle · Sean Davey 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Sean Davey | 55 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 166.67 |
 Gareth Severincaught · Matt Boyle · Cole McConchie0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Cole McConchie | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Muhammad Abbascaught · JJA Frew · Cameron Paul3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · JJA Frew · b Cameron Paul |
| 43 |
| 31 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 138.71 |
 Jesse Tashkoffrun out · Cole McConchie · Cameron Paul3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Cole McConchie | 31 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 140.91 |
|---|
| OT Jacksonbowled · Sean Davey 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sean Davey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
 Callum McLachlannot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Muller0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Cameron Paul0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| LLB Harper0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 16.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Rippon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Boyle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-89 (Tom Blundell, 8.0) · 2-94 (Gareth Severin, 9.0) · 3-111 (SL Morgan, 11.3) · 4-163 (Jesse Tashkoff, 17.3) · 5-170 (OT Jackson, 18.1) · 6-186 (Muhammad Abbas, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 18 | 69/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 74/0 |
| 8 | 15 | 89/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 94/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 98/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 108/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 113/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 128/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 139/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 146/3 |
| 17 | 15 | 161/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 170/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 181/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 193/6 |
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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