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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 41%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rhys Mariubowled · Logan van Beek1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Harry Chamberlaincaught · Callum McLachlan · OT Jackson 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Callum McLachlan · b OT Jackson | 19 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Matt Boylecaught · SL Morgan · Logan van Beek 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SL Morgan · b Logan van Beek | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 146.67 |
| Cole McConchiebowled · Peter Younghusband 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Peter Younghusband | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Leo Cartercaught · Tom Blundell · Ben Sears 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell |
| 20 |
| 19 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 105.26 |
| Michael Ripponlbw · OT Jackson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b OT Jackson | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| JJA Frewbowled · Peter Younghusband 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Peter Younghusband | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Paulcaught and bowled · Ben Sears 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ben Sears | 12 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| LLB Harperbowled · James Hartshorn 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Hartshorn | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Travis Mullernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Sean Daveybowled · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| James Hartshorn0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| OT Jackson0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 1 | 1 |
1-4 (Rhys Mariu, 0.2) · 2-37 (Matt Boyle, 4.3) · 3-56 (Cole McConchie, 7.0) · 4-58 (Harry Chamberlain, 7.2) · 5-66 (Michael Rippon, 9.2) · 6-71 (JJA Frew, 10.3) · 7-93 (Cameron Paul, 13.1) · 8-100 (LLB Harper, 14.4) · 9-104 (Leo Carter, 15.5) · 10-105 (Sean Davey, 16.2)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 56/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 69/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 72/6 |
| 12 | 11 | 83/6 |
| 13 | 10 | 93/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 99/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 101/8 |
| 16 | 3 | 104/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 105/10 |
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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