Rangpur RidersversusChattogram Challengers

16 Feb 2024 · T20

Chittagong Divisional Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rangpur Riders won by 18 runs

Rangpur Riders20.0 overs187/8 Chattogram Challengers20.0 overs169/6 Chittagong Divisional Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rangpur Riders started on 58%; Rangpur Riders batted first.

Rangpur Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Chattogram Challengers is the rest

Rangpur Riders's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Chattogram Challengers: 0% to 63%).

Biggest swings

4.4: Shohidul Islam to Rony Talukdar, Rony Talukdar out. Chattogram Challengers up from 33% to 43%.
5.1: R Shepherd to RR Hendricks, RR Hendricks out. Chattogram Challengers up from 44% to 53%.
7.5: R Shepherd to BA King, BA King out. Chattogram Challengers up from 48% to 57%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Rangpur Riders chose to bat
Player of the match: Mahedi Hasan
match referees: Selim Shahid
reserve umpires: Mahfuzur Rahman
tv umpires: Tanvir Ahmed
umpires: DK Butler, Gazi Sohel

Match history & source

On 16 Feb 2024, Rangpur Riders played Chattogram Challengers at Chittagong Divisional Stadium. Recorded result: Rangpur Riders won by 18 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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