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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
19 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 67%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 80% during the match (Namibia: 20% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malan Krugercaught · S Mathur · Ateeq Iqbal0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Mathur · b Ateeq Iqbal | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Jan Frylinckbowled · Nasrulla Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nasrulla Rana | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Gerhard Erasmusstumped · Zeeshan Ali · Mohammad Ghazanfar 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Zeeshan Ali · b Mohammad Ghazanfar | 20 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| A Busing-Volschenknot out 1 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 69* | 56 | 1 | 5 | 123.21 |
| JJ Smitnot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 31* | 22 | 1 | 2 | 140.91 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Ateeq Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 9.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Malan Kruger, 1.4) · 2-5 (Jan Frylinck, 2.2) · 3-33 (Gerhard Erasmus, 8.3)
Recorded target: 127 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 8/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 35/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 15 | 61/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 68/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 88/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 91/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 101/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 114/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 121/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 127/3 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
