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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
15 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 54%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Ravindrancaught · A Randhawa · Waqar Zalmai 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Randhawa · b Waqar Zalmai | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 176.47 |
| HV Mandhyancaught · Imran Asif · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Asif · b Bilal Zalmai | 15 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Abhishek Ahujabowled · Aqib Iqbal 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aqib Iqbal | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Sheikh Rasikstumped · Abrar Bilal · Imran Asif 4 fours · 3 sixes | stumped · Abrar Bilal · b Imran Asif | 51 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 170.00 |
| Ali Farasatrun out · Abrar Bilal · Abdullah Akbarjan 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Abrar Bilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
| caught · Abrar Bilal · b Aqib Iqbal |
| 14 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
| Danyal Akbarrun out · Bilal Zalmai, Imran Asif · Imran Asif 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Bilal Zalmai, Imran Asif | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| M Fontainenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Burhanrun out · Abrar Bilal, Imran Asif · Imran Asif 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Abrar Bilal, Imran Asif | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Amal Jacobbowled · Imran Asif 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Asif | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kamran Wahidnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 2 | 1 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdullah Akbarjan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Asif0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (V Ravindran, 3.5) · 2-65 (HV Mandhyan, 8.2) · 3-104 (Abhishek Ahuja, 12.1) · 4-126 (Ali Farasat, 14.1) · 5-145 (Abbas Ghani, 16.1) · 6-156 (Danyal Akbar, 17.3) · 7-157 (Sheikh Rasik, 17.5) · 8-167 (Muhammad Burhan, 19.1) · 9-173 (Amal Jacob, 19.5)
Recorded target: 188 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 59/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 63/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 78/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 87/2 |
| 12 | 17 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 113/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 126/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 130/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 145/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 153/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 159/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 167/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 173/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.