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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Sept 2025 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographSomerset started on 59%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Migael Pretorius · Lewis Gregory 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Migael Pretorius · b Lewis Gregory | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Lewis Goldsworthy 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Lewis Goldsworthy | 44 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 157.14 |
| Matthew Hurstlbw · Craig Overton 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Craig Overton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Liam Livingstonelbw · Lewis Gregory 0 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Lewis Gregory | 29 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 152.63 |
 Michael Jonescaught · Craig Overton · Migael Pretorius2 fours · 2 sixes |
| 36 |
| 35 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 102.86 |
| Arav Shettycaught · Lewis Gregory · Ben Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis Gregory · b Ben Green | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Craig Overton · Migael Pretorius 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Migael Pretorius | 15 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 136.36 |
|---|
| George Baldersonretired out · Ben Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired out | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Ben Green0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Ben Green | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallcaught · Craig Overton · Migael Pretorius 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Migael Pretorius | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 James Andersonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Migael Pretorius0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 7.04 | 1 | 2 |
1-22 (Luke Wells, 1.3) · 2-35 (Matthew Hurst, 2.5) · 3-78 (Keaton Jennings, 7.4) · 4-102 (Liam Livingstone, 11.5) · 5-110 (Arav Shetty, 14.1) · 6-142 (Jack Blatherwick, 16.4) · 7-152 (George Balderson, 18.1) · 8-152 (Tom Hartley, 18.2) · 9-158 (Michael Jones, 19.3) · 10-159 (Tom Aspinwall, 19.5)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 28/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 37/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 57/2 |
| 6 | 16 | 73/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 76/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 79/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 93/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 105/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 110/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 119/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 126/5 |
| 17 | 18 | 144/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 151/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 154/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 159/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Migael Pretorius: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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