Continental Cup · 2025 · Men

HungaryversusRomania

27 Jun 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Romania won by 7 wickets

Hungary20.0 overs147/8 Romania12.0 overs153/3 Moara Vlasiei Cricket Ground, Ilfov County ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Romania more likely to win

39%Hungary61%Romania

Why

Romania are playing at home in Romania
In the last 3 T20 internationals between these sides, Romania won 2 and Hungary won 1
On results in T20 internationals so far, Romania rate stronger than Hungary (1,499 vs 1,489 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Hungary started on 37%; Hungary batted first.

Hungary’s chance of winning (%) · Romania is the rest

Hungary's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Romania: 36% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.3: Muhammad Moiz to Abbas Ghani, Abbas Ghani out. Romania up from 49% to 60%.
2.4: M Koli to V Ravindran, V Ravindran out. Romania up from 63% to 73%.
12.4: V Saini to Zahir Mohammed, Zahir Mohammed out. Romania up from 51% to 60%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Hungary147/8 Romania153/3

Innings 2

Romania

153/312.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Romania batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Taranjeet Singhcaught · V Ravindran · MP Ainsworth 5 fours · 2 sixes	caught · V Ravindran · b MP Ainsworth	36	21	5	2	171.43
AN Lascunot out 7 fours · 4 sixes	not out	62*	30	7	4	206.67
Muhammad Moizcaught · Ibrar Ahmad (2) · MP Ainsworth 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Ibrar Ahmad (2) · b MP Ainsworth	0	2	0	0	0.00
V Sainirun out · Ibrar Ahmad (2) · Muhammad Burhan 9 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Ibrar Ahmad (2)	43	18	9	0	238.89
Rameez Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes	not out	0*	2	0	0	0.00
Extras	byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
SA Mohandas0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	21	0	10.50	1	0
Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	13	0	13.00	4	0
Ibrar Ahmad (2)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	13	0	13.00	1	0
MP Ainsworth0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls	2.0	20	2	10.00	1	1
Abbas Ghani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	39	0	19.50	2	0
Muhammad Burhan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	11	0	5.50	0	0
Ali Nawaz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	34	0	17.00	0	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	11	11/0
2	13	24/0
3	10	34/0
4	14	48/0
5	10	58/2
6	17	75/2
7	10	85/2
8	22	107/2
9	5	112/2
10	17	129/2
11	6	135/3
12	18	153/3

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.