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Malaysia Open T20 Championship · 2023/24 · Men
6 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 57%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Vanuatu: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubaidi Zulkiflecaught · JD Allan · Apolinaire Stephen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JD Allan · b Apolinaire Stephen | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Virandeep Singhbowled · W Wotu 6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b W Wotu | 52 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 144.44 |
| Sharvin Muniandylbw · Joshua Rasu 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Joshua Rasu | 27 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 128.57 |
| Ahmed Faizrun out · W Wotu · Patrick Matautaava 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · W Wotu | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Syed Azizrun out · Patrick Matautaava · Apolinaire Stephen 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Patrick Matautaava | 31 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 172.22 |
| bowled · b Apolinaire Stephen |
| 14 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 82.35 |
| Khizar Hayatnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Ainool Hafizsbowled · W Wotu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b W Wotu | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Wafiqnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apolinaire Stephen0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 5 | 1 |
| Tim Cutler0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Rasu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Patrick Matautaava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Williamsing Nalisa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
| W Wotu0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 1 | 1 |
1-0 (Zubaidi Zulkifle, 0.2) · 2-65 (Sharvin Muniandy, 7.4) · 3-88 (Ahmed Faiz, 10.3) · 4-93 (Virandeep Singh, 11.2) · 5-135 (Syed Aziz, 16.3) · 6-135 (Muhammad Amir, 16.4) · 7-141 (Ainool Hafizs, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 17 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 97/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 129/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 133/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 136/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 141/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 145/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 148/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.