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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 48%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Alex Davies · George Garton3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Alex Davies · b George Garton | 43 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 195.45 |
 Alex Leescaught · Ed Barnard · Hasan Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ed Barnard · b Hasan Ali | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Ollie Robinsoncaught · George Garton · Hasan Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Hasan Ali | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Colin Ackermannrun out · Tom Latham · Dan Mousley4 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · Tom Latham |
| 27 |
| 17 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 158.82 |
 Will Rhodescaught · Craig Miles · Dan Mousley7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b Dan Mousley | 51 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 141.67 |
|---|
| James Neeshamcaught · Dan Mousley · Jacob Lintott 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Jacob Lintott | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 127.27 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgelbw · Hasan Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Ali | 31 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 163.16 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottsnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Alex Lees, 1.4) · 2-26 (Ollie Robinson, 3.5) · 3-75 (Graham Clark, 7.3) · 4-111 (Colin Ackermann, 12.0) · 5-131 (James Neesham, 14.5) · 6-175 (Will Rhodes, 19.0) · 7-179 (Kasey Aldridge, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 16 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 15 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 70/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 76/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 79/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 16 | 111/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 115/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 122/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 131/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 139/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 149/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 160/5 |
| 19 | 15 | 175/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 182/7 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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