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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 48%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · Zakary Foulkes · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Matthew Potts | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Zakary Foulkes · James Neesham3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zakary Foulkes · b James Neesham | 23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 135.29 |
| Dan Mousleycaught · Nathan Sowter · Kasey Aldridge 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Kasey Aldridge | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 111.76 |
| Sam Haincaught · Matthew Potts · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b Callum Parkinson | 20 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · Zakary Foulkes · Matthew Potts5 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Matthew Potts |
| 49 |
| 32 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 153.13 |
| Rob Yatescaught · Graham Clark · Zakary Foulkes 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Zakary Foulkes | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 154.55 |
|---|
| George Gartoncaught · Nathan Sowter · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Zakary Foulkes | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Alex Lees · James Neesham2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b James Neesham | 22 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 169.23 |
|---|
| Danny Briggsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jacob Lintottnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 5 | 2 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 4 | 0 |
1-7 (Alex Davies, 1.5) · 2-25 (Tom Latham, 4.2) · 3-63 (Sam Hain, 8.5) · 4-65 (Dan Mousley, 9.4) · 5-97 (Rob Yates, 13.2) · 6-99 (George Garton, 13.5) · 7-159 (Hasan Ali, 18.5) · 8-159 (Ed Barnard, 19.1)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 93/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 100/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 111/6 |
| 16 | 16 | 127/6 |
| 17 | 13 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 152/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 159/7 |
| 20 | 15 | 174/8 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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