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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
9 Sept 2026 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saim Ayublbw · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Azan Awaiscaught · Josh Tongue · Jofra Archer 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Tongue · b Jofra Archer | 9 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 45.00 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Daniel Lawrence · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Ollie Robinson | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 18.75 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · TO Wylie · Jofra Archer1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
 Mohammad Babar Azambowled · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 38.89 |
|---|
 Saud Shakeelbowled · Josh Tongue7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 43 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 91.49 |
|---|
| Ghazi Ghorilbw · Josh Tongue 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Tongue | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Imranbowled · Josh Tongue 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Razaullah Mashwanicaught · Ben Duckett · Ollie Robinson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Ollie Robinson | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbascaught · Harry Brook · Jofra Archer4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Jofra Archer | 21 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 26.32 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 14 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 1.36 | 0 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.5 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 3.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 6.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 42 | 4 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Saim Ayub, 2.4) · 2-14 (Azan Awais, 5.5) · 3-24 (Abdullah Shafique, 8.2) · 4-26 (Shan Masood, 9.3) · 5-48 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 15.0) · 6-64 (Ghazi Ghori, 16.5) · 7-84 (Mohammad Imran, 20.4) · 8-101 (Razaullah Mashwani, 23.3) · 9-107 (Saud Shakeel, 26.1) · 10-133 (Mohammad Abbas, 33.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 18/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 24/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 26/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 29/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 35/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 35/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 37/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 43/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 48/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 60/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 64/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 75/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 20 | 3 | 82/6 |
| 21 | 4 | 86/7 |
| 22 | 6 | 92/7 |
| 23 | 8 | 100/7 |
| 24 | 1 | 101/8 |
| 25 | 6 | 107/8 |
| 26 | 0 | 107/8 |
| 27 | 0 | 107/9 |
| 28 | 6 | 113/9 |
| 29 | 1 | 114/9 |
| 30 | 0 | 114/9 |
| 31 | 4 | 118/9 |
| 32 | 4 | 122/9 |
| 33 | 8 | 130/9 |
| 34 | 3 | 133/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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