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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
9 Sept 2026 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saim Ayubcaught · Harry Brook · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Azan Awaiscaught · Jordan Cox · Daniel Lawrence 10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Daniel Lawrence | 59 | 84 | 10 | 0 | 70.24 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Joe Root · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Daniel Lawrence · Gus Atkinson12 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Gus Atkinson |
| 95 |
| 148 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 64.19 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Jordan Cox · Josh Tongue11 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Josh Tongue | 76 | 103 | 11 | 1 | 73.79 |
|---|
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Emilio Gay · Jofra Archer3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emilio Gay · b Jofra Archer | 29 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 49.15 |
|---|
| Ghazi Ghoricaught · Jordan Cox · Gus Atkinson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Gus Atkinson | 16 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 59.26 |
|---|
| Mohammad Imrancaught · Jordan Cox · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Gus Atkinson | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Razaullah Mashwanistumped · Jordan Cox · Daniel Lawrence 4 fours · 9 sixes | stumped · Jordan Cox · b Daniel Lawrence | 81 | 63 | 4 | 9 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbascaught · Gus Atkinson · Josh Tongue5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gus Atkinson · b Josh Tongue | 42 | 67 | 5 | 2 | 62.69 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 15 · legbyes: 24 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson8 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 23.0 | 8 | 54 | 2 | 2.35 | 0 | 3 |
 Jofra Archer1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 120 | 1 | 5.45 | 0 | 1 |
| Gus Atkinson3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 3 | 109 | 3 | 4.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 1 | 106 | 2 | 4.82 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.4 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 3.64 | 0 | 0 |
 Harry Brook0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Saim Ayub, 0.1) · 2-0 (Abdullah Shafique, 0.4) · 3-125 (Azan Awais, 30.2) · 4-214 (Shan Masood, 49.2) · 5-278 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 62.3) · 6-306 (Saud Shakeel, 69.2) · 7-312 (Ghazi Ghori, 72.4) · 8-318 (Mohammad Imran, 74.4) · 9-439 (Mohammad Abbas, 95.1) · 10-449 (Razaullah Mashwani, 96.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/2 |
| 2 | 12 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 46/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 52/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 60/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 67/2 |
| 20 | 0 | 67/2 |
| 21 | 9 | 76/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 77/2 |
| 23 | 10 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 95/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 100/2 |
| 27 | 7 | 107/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 109/2 |
| 29 | 8 | 117/2 |
| 30 | 8 | 125/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 128/3 |
| 32 | 8 | 136/3 |
| 33 | 10 | 146/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 150/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 154/3 |
| 36 | 4 | 158/3 |
| 37 | 6 | 164/3 |
| 38 | 6 | 170/3 |
| 39 | 7 | 177/3 |
| 40 | 7 | 184/3 |
| 41 | 7 | 191/3 |
| 42 | 1 | 192/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 196/3 |
| 44 | 3 | 199/3 |
| 45 | 2 | 201/3 |
| 46 | 0 | 201/3 |
| 47 | 5 | 206/3 |
| 48 | 7 | 213/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 214/3 |
| 50 | 7 | 221/4 |
| 51 | 0 | 221/4 |
| 52 | 8 | 229/4 |
| 53 | 4 | 233/4 |
| 54 | 2 | 235/4 |
| 55 | 11 | 246/4 |
| 56 | 2 | 248/4 |
| 57 | 2 | 250/4 |
| 58 | 7 | 257/4 |
| 59 | 7 | 264/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 266/4 |
| 61 | 1 | 267/4 |
| 62 | 11 | 278/4 |
| 63 | 1 | 279/5 |
| 64 | 7 | 286/5 |
| 65 | 6 | 292/5 |
| 66 | 4 | 296/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 297/5 |
| 68 | 5 | 302/5 |
| 69 | 4 | 306/5 |
| 70 | 2 | 308/6 |
| 71 | 2 | 310/6 |
| 72 | 0 | 310/6 |
| 73 | 6 | 316/7 |
| 74 | 1 | 317/7 |
| 75 | 1 | 318/8 |
| 76 | 6 | 324/8 |
| 77 | 0 | 324/8 |
| 78 | 5 | 329/8 |
| 79 | 18 | 347/8 |
| 80 | 2 | 349/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 350/8 |
| 82 | 4 | 354/8 |
| 83 | 6 | 360/8 |
| 84 | 5 | 365/8 |
| 85 | 11 | 376/8 |
| 86 | 6 | 382/8 |
| 87 | 4 | 386/8 |
| 88 | 14 | 400/8 |
| 89 | 5 | 405/8 |
| 90 | 11 | 416/8 |
| 91 | 13 | 429/8 |
| 92 | 4 | 433/8 |
| 93 | 1 | 434/8 |
| 94 | 3 | 437/8 |
| 95 | 2 | 439/8 |
| 96 | 4 | 443/9 |
| 97 | 6 | 449/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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