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Belgium Women tour of Luxembourg · 2026 · Women
22 Aug 2026 · T20
Pierre Werner Cricket Ground, Walferdange · Venue photographRecorded result
Luxembourg more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 41%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Gebhardcaught · I Vrignaud · Attia Diwan Ali 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · I Vrignaud · b Attia Diwan Ali | 43 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 95.56 |
| PN Agarwalcaught · Attia Diwan Ali · S Sinha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Attia Diwan Ali · b S Sinha | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 111.11 |
| GEM Brealeyrun out · S Sinha, I Vrignaud · Attia Diwan Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Sinha, I Vrignaud | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
| P Neighbournot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 28 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
| Aarti Priyarun out · A Ilahi, I Vrignaud · A Ilahi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Ilahi, I Vrignaud | 18 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 69.23 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 39 · noballs: 14 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Ilahi0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| S Sinha0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 4 | 2 |
| AC Brodin0 maidens · 2 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 3 |
| B Pierre0 maidens · 11 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 11 | 3 |
| Attia Diwan Ali0 maidens · 12 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 12 | 2 |
| Ankita Mehta0 maidens · 7 wides · 4 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 7 | 4 |
1-20 (PN Agarwal, 3.3) · 2-99 (E Gebhard, 11.0) · 3-113 (GEM Brealey, 13.0) · 4-172 (Aarti Priya, 20.0)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 18 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 92/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 113/3 |
| 14 | 18 | 131/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 139/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 149/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 152/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 155/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 164/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 172/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.