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Photo: shodan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
22 Jan 2026 · T20
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 50%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Timmersbowled · Hardus Viljoen 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hardus Viljoen | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Rivaldo Moonsamylbw · Bjorn Fortuin 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Bjorn Fortuin | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
 James Vincebowled · N Mokoena5 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b N Mokoena | 47 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 162.07 |
| M De Villierscaught · Bjorn Fortuin · Hardus Viljoen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bjorn Fortuin · b Hardus Viljoen | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Leus du Plooy |
| lbw · b Ottniel Baartman |
| 10 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Sikandar Raza · Ottniel Baartman4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Ottniel Baartman | 41 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 151.85 |
|---|
| Dian Forrestercaught · Asa Tribe · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Sikandar Raza | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Akeal Hoseincaught · Rubin Hermann · Hardus Viljoen 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rubin Hermann · b Hardus Viljoen | 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 222.22 |
|---|
| Duan Jansennot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 18* | 12 | 0 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Nandre Burgernot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 11 | 3 | 0 | 154.55 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Hardus Viljoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Mokoena0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Ottniel Baartman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (N Timmers, 2.0) · 2-13 (Rivaldo Moonsamy, 2.5) · 3-14 (M De Villiers, 3.5) · 4-40 (Leus du Plooy, 5.4) · 5-98 (James Vince, 11.3) · 6-103 (Dian Forrester, 13.0) · 7-138 (Akeal Hosein, 16.0) · 8-138 (Wiaan Mulder, 16.1)
Recorded target: 211 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 18/3 |
| 5 | 16 | 34/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 44/4 |
| 7 | 13 | 57/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 9 | 13 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 15 | 96/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 99/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 103/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 115/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 126/6 |
| 16 | 12 | 138/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 140/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 144/8 |
| 19 | 20 | 164/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 174/8 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
