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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
4 Apr 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 51%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Jack Brassell · M Heingo 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Brassell · b M Heingo | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 37.93 |
| Pruthvikumar Macchicaught · Gerhard Erasmus · M Heingo 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b M Heingo | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Malan Kruger · Gerhard Erasmus 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malan Kruger · b Gerhard Erasmus | 17 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 62.96 |
| Hammad Mirzanot out 12 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 112* | 128 | 12 | 1 | 87.50 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · DO Leicher · Jack Brassell 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · DO Leicher · b Jack Brassell | 43 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 102.38 |
Namibia's chances ranged from 3% to 94% during the match (Oman: 7% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Zane Green · b Jack Brassell |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Wasim Alicaught · Jan Frylinck · M Heingo 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jan Frylinck · b M Heingo | 62 | 49 | 3 | 2 | 126.53 |
|---|
| Vinayak Shuklabowled · Gerhard Erasmus 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gerhard Erasmus | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 4.90 | 2 | 0 |
| M Heingo1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.1 | 1 | 59 | 3 | 6.44 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 61 | 2 | 6.10 | 3 | 0 |
| DO Leicher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 4.40 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (Pruthvikumar Macchi, 3.1) · 2-34 (Jatinder Singh, 9.1) · 3-45 (Shakeel Ahmed, 14.2) · 4-126 (Mujibur Ali, 26.5) · 5-126 (Jiten Ramanandi, 27.0) · 6-250 (Wasim Ali, 46.3) · 7-268 (Vinayak Shukla, 49.0)
Recorded target: 269 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 45/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 52/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 57/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 64/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 20 | 15 | 81/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 92/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 98/3 |
| 24 | 6 | 104/3 |
| 25 | 5 | 109/3 |
| 26 | 11 | 120/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 126/5 |
| 28 | 0 | 126/5 |
| 29 | 3 | 129/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 130/5 |
| 31 | 10 | 140/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 33 | 4 | 148/5 |
| 34 | 6 | 154/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 155/5 |
| 36 | 7 | 162/5 |
| 37 | 9 | 171/5 |
| 38 | 9 | 180/5 |
| 39 | 10 | 190/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 196/5 |
| 41 | 8 | 204/5 |
| 42 | 7 | 211/5 |
| 43 | 11 | 222/5 |
| 44 | 9 | 231/5 |
| 45 | 9 | 240/5 |
| 46 | 8 | 248/5 |
| 47 | 5 | 253/6 |
| 48 | 8 | 261/6 |
| 49 | 7 | 268/7 |
| 50 | 6 | 274/7 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
