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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
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Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
5 Dec 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Sixers started on 48%; Sydney Sixers batted first.
Sydney Sixers's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davina Perrincaught · Amelia Kerr · Caoimhe Bray 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amelia Kerr · b Caoimhe Bray | 28 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 103.70 |
 Nicole Faltumcaught · Alyssa Healy · Maitlan Brown0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alyssa Healy · b Maitlan Brown | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Sophie Molineuxcaught · Caoimhe Bray · Maitlan Brown0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caoimhe Bray · b Maitlan Brown | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Alice Capseycaught · Mady Villiers · Amelia Kerr1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 10 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Georgia Warehamnot out5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 49* | 29 | 5 | 2 | 168.97 |
|---|
 Courtney Webbnot out4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 21 | 4 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Cheatle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 5.70 | 1 | 0 |
 Maitlan Brown0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Ashleigh Gardner0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 1 |
 Caoimhe Bray0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Mady Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Nicole Faltum, 1.1) · 2-4 (Sophie Molineux, 1.4) · 3-29 (Alice Capsey, 6.4) · 4-49 (Davina Perrin, 9.2)
Recorded target: 131 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 34/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 38/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 48/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 56/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 61/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 69/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 84/4 |
| 14 | 16 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 106/4 |
| 16 | 18 | 124/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 134/4 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Erin Burns: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Molineux: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tess Flintoff: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Cheatle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Emma Manix-Geeves: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Courtney Webb: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicole Faltum: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Caoimhe Bray: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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