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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 72%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KG Andersonrun out · Georgia Plimmer, Jess McFadyen · JA Simmons 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Georgia Plimmer, Jess McFadyen | 45 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 107.14 |
 Naomi Stalenbergbowled · Jess Kerr0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Izzy Sharpbowled · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Baird | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| J Deancaught · S Mackinder · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Mackinder · b N Baird | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| KP Irwinbowled · XA Jetly 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b XA Jetly | 8 | 14 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| AG Gerkenbowled · JA Simmons 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JA Simmons | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Lea Tahuhubowled · RJ Bryant0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b RJ Bryant | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Lauren Smithbowled · Jess Kerr1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 121.43 |
|---|
| MJ Banksbowled · Jess Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| SR Asmussennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| SG Corneliusstumped · Jess McFadyen · Jess Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jess McFadyen · b Jess Kerr | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| JA Simmons0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| RJ Bryant0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| HC Francis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-20 (Naomi Stalenberg, 3.4) · 2-21 (Izzy Sharp, 4.1) · 3-21 (J Dean, 4.3) · 4-41 (KP Irwin, 8.5) · 5-51 (AG Gerken, 11.0) · 6-70 (Lea Tahuhu, 14.0) · 7-87 (KG Anderson, 16.2) · 8-93 (Lauren Smith, 17.2) · 9-97 (MJ Banks, 17.5) · 10-97 (SG Cornelius, 18.0)
Recorded target: 128 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 26/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 41/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 46/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 51/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 60/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 70/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 74/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 85/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 93/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 97/10 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lea Tahuhu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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