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Photo: Amuzujoe
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
African Games · 2023/24 · Men
23 Mar 2024 · T20
Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, Accra · Venue photographRecorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 56%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Zimbabwe: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rodney Mupfudzastumped · Jean-Pierre Kotze · Peter-Daniel Blignaut1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Jean-Pierre Kotze · b Peter-Daniel Blignaut | 24 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 96.00 |
| Tadiwanashe Marumanibowled · Peter-Daniel Blignaut 6 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Peter-Daniel Blignaut | 58 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 145.00 |
 Johnathan Campbellnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 24 | 1 | 0 | 95.83 |
 Clive Madandenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Shikongo0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 1 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| SPS Shikongo0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| H Klazinge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter-Daniel Blignaut0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
| JC Balt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| GJ van Rensburg0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-55 (Rodney Mupfudza, 7.3) · 2-111 (Tadiwanashe Marumani, 14.1)
Recorded target: 114 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 35/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 44/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 70/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 83/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 92/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 96/1 |
| 14 | 15 | 111/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 114/2 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rodney Mupfudza: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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