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Lesotho tour of Botswana · 2025/26 · Men
9 Mar 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Botswana more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Lesotho started on 28%; Lesotho batted first.
Lesotho's chances ranged from 0% to 29% during the match (Botswana: 71% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Nehondecaught · Maaz Khan · Waseem Yaqoob 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maaz Khan · b Waseem Yaqoob | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Vinoo Balakrishnanbowled · Ts'episo Chaoana 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ts'episo Chaoana | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| L Maphanecaught · Ajaz Patel · Waseem Yaqoob 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ajaz Patel · b Waseem Yaqoob | 20 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 117.65 |
| P Silasnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 24 | 0 | 0 | 79.17 |
| V Mbazocaught · Azim Patel · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Azim Patel · b Ajaz Patel | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| not out |
| 1* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ts'episo Chaoana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Inshaf Farook0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Waseem Yaqoob0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Jamadar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ajaz Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Vinoo Balakrishnan, 0.3) · 2-30 (Reginald Nehonde, 4.4) · 3-43 (L Maphane, 7.0) · 4-57 (V Mbazo, 10.1)
Recorded target: 61 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 48/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 61/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.