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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
1 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 53%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught · Josh Philippe · Reece Topley 12 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Reece Topley | 78 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 260.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reece Topley | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Tom Curran · Daniel Lawrence 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Curran · b Daniel Lawrence | 21 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Josh Philippe · Daniel Lawrence 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Daniel Lawrence | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · ARG Thomas · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · ARG Thomas · b Reece Topley |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| NRM Thaincaught · Reece Topley · Tom Lawes 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Reece Topley · b Tom Lawes | 36 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 144.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmercaught · Reece Topley · Tom Lawes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Reece Topley · b Tom Lawes | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| SML Fernandesbowled · Daniel Lawrence 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Lawrence | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Shane Snaternot out2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 33* | 14 | 2 | 3 | 235.71 |
|---|
 Zaman Akhternot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 26* | 10 | 2 | 2 | 260.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 18.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Lawes0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.1) · 2-103 (CWJ Allison, 7.3) · 3-105 (Paul Walter, 8.1) · 4-117 (Luc Benkenstein, 9.2) · 5-121 (Matthew Critchley, 10.1) · 6-159 (Simon Harmer, 14.3) · 7-162 (SML Fernandes, 15.1) · 8-174 (NRM Thain, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 23 | 54/1 |
| 5 | 23 | 77/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 95/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 101/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 105/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 113/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 121/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 124/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 134/5 |
| 13 | 11 | 145/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 154/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 162/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 169/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 180/8 |
| 18 | 18 | 198/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 208/8 |
| 20 | 25 | 233/8 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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