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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 35%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazinot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 52* | 41 | 4 | 1 | 126.83 |
| Ben Greencaught · Oli Stone · George Linde 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b George Linde | 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 190.91 |
| Sheridon Gumbsbowled · Binura Fernando 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Binura Fernando | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Rishi Patelbowled · George Linde 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Linde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 157.14 |
 Ashton Turnerbowled · Liam Patterson-White0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Liam Patterson-White | 2 | 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Ben Coxcaught · Benny Howell · George Linde2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Benny Howell · b George Linde | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Ruan de Swardtcaught · Tom Moores · Oli Stone 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Oli Stone | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
 Joey Evisoncaught · Jack Haynes · Binura Fernando1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Binura Fernando | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
 Josh Daveynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Binura Fernando0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Ben Green, 3.4) · 2-54 (Sheridon Gumbs, 6.0) · 3-68 (Rishi Patel, 7.4) · 4-73 (Ashton Turner, 8.4) · 5-92 (Ben Cox, 10.5) · 6-111 (Ruan de Swardt, 14.0) · 7-126 (Joey Evison, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 37/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 48/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 54/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 70/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 77/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 89/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 93/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 98/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 102/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 111/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 115/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 121/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 125/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 129/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 135/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 143/7 |
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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