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Ireland Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
10 Jan 2025 · ODI
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 16%; Ireland batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbescaught · Deepti Sharma · Titas Sadhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deepti Sharma · b Titas Sadhu | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught and bowled · Deepti Sharma 15 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 92 | 129 | 15 | 0 | 71.32 |
| Una Raymond-Hoeyrun out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh · Titas Sadhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Orla Prendergaststumped · Richa Ghosh · Priya Mishra 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Richa Ghosh · b Priya Mishra | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
| Laura Delanybowled · Priya Mishra 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Priya Mishra | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 28% during the match (India: 72% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Leah Paulrun out · Harleen Deol, Richa Ghosh · Sayali Satghare 7 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Harleen Deol, Richa Ghosh |
| 59 |
| 73 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 80.82 |
| CE Coulter Reillynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 26 | 1 | 0 | 57.69 |
|---|
| Arlene Kellylbw · Sayali Satghare 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sayali Satghare | 28 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 112.00 |
|---|
| Georgina Dempseynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titas Sadhu1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 48 | 1 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sayali Satghare2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 43 | 1 | 4.30 | 5 | 0 |
| Saima Thakor0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Priya Mishra1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 56 | 2 | 6.22 | 0 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Pratika Rawal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Sarah Forbes, 4.4) · 2-34 (Una Raymond-Hoey, 8.3) · 3-56 (Orla Prendergast, 13.2) · 4-56 (Laura Delany, 13.3) · 5-173 (Leah Paul, 38.2) · 6-194 (Gaby Lewis, 43.4) · 7-230 (Arlene Kelly, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 34/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 44/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 58/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 59/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 67/4 |
| 17 | 1 | 68/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 69/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 76/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 86/4 |
| 22 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 23 | 7 | 98/4 |
| 24 | 0 | 98/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 98/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 27 | 10 | 112/4 |
| 28 | 7 | 119/4 |
| 29 | 7 | 126/4 |
| 30 | 7 | 133/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 135/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 142/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 145/4 |
| 34 | 7 | 152/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 156/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 162/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 168/4 |
| 38 | 5 | 173/4 |
| 39 | 0 | 173/5 |
| 40 | 10 | 183/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 185/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 189/5 |
| 43 | 3 | 192/5 |
| 44 | 3 | 195/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 198/6 |
| 46 | 9 | 207/6 |
| 47 | 5 | 212/6 |
| 48 | 10 | 222/6 |
| 49 | 6 | 228/6 |
| 50 | 10 | 238/7 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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