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Ireland Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
10 Jan 2025 · ODI
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 16%; Ireland batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Orla Prendergast · FA Sargent6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b FA Sargent | 41 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 141.38 |
| Pratika Rawalcaught · Orla Prendergast · Aimee Maguire 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Aimee Maguire | 89 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 92.71 |
| Harleen Deolcaught · Orla Prendergast · Aimee Maguire 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Aimee Maguire | 20 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 62.50 |
 Jemimah Rodriguesstumped · CE Coulter Reilly · Aimee Maguire2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · CE Coulter Reilly · b Aimee Maguire | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 28% during the match (India: 72% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Tejal Hasabnisnot out 9 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 53* |
| 46 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 115.22 |
 Richa Ghoshnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 14 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.3 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 9.09 | 3 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 4.83 | 0 | 0 |
| FA Sargent0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Aimee Maguire1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 57 | 3 | 7.13 | 2 | 1 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 6 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 15.43 | 6 | 2 |
1-70 (Smriti Mandhana, 10.0) · 2-101 (Harleen Deol, 18.4) · 3-116 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 20.2) · 4-232 (Pratika Rawal, 33.5)
Recorded target: 239 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 41/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 47/0 |
| 8 | 15 | 62/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 63/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 70/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 74/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 75/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 79/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 83/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 90/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 93/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 97/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 100/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 106/2 |
| 20 | 10 | 116/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 116/3 |
| 22 | 11 | 127/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 131/3 |
| 24 | 22 | 153/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 161/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 164/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 169/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 173/3 |
| 29 | 10 | 183/3 |
| 30 | 10 | 193/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 198/3 |
| 32 | 10 | 208/3 |
| 33 | 10 | 218/3 |
| 34 | 18 | 236/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 241/4 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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