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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
22 Jan 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 50%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Wellington: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Michael Bracewell · Nathan Smith 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Nathan Smith | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 171.43 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Michael Bracewell | 20 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 95.24 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Michael Bracewell · Ben Sears 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Ben Sears | 37 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 132.14 |
| Cole McConchierun out · Peter Younghusband · Ben Sears 4 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Peter Younghusband | 51 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 130.77 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Michael Bracewell · Michael Snedden 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Michael Bracewell · b Michael Snedden |
| 11 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Kelly · b Logan van Beek | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Michael Ripponrun out · Tom Blundell · Ben Sears 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Blundell | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 4 | 1 |
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 1 |
| Michael Snedden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-41 (Chad Bowes, 4.3) · 2-56 (Tom Latham, 7.1) · 3-107 (Matt Boyle, 13.2) · 4-146 (Mitchell Hay, 17.2) · 5-160 (Matt Henry, 19.0) · 6-163 (Michael Rippon, 19.5) · 7-164 (Cole McConchie, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 92/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 101/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 113/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 122/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 144/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 154/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 160/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 164/7 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.