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Women's ICC T20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
2 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Jersey started on 63%; Jersey batted first.
Jersey's chances ranged from 0% to 68% during the match (Isle of Man: 32% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Barnettcaught · Lily Greig · Georgia Mallet 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lily Greig · b Georgia Mallet | 48 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 154.84 |
| L Moorecaught · Erin Gouge · Georgia Mallet 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Erin Gouge · b Georgia Mallet | 20 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 86.96 |
| C Henerynot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 17 | 3 | 1 | 141.18 |
| C Crowebowled · Grace Wetherall 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Grace Wetherall | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 43.75 |
| R Overmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Tanguy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Wetherall0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 6 | 0 |
| Analise Merritt0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 14.33 | 1 | 2 |
| D Pearce0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Georgia Mallet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Erin Gouge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 7.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-83 (Lucy Barnett, 8.2) · 2-84 (L Moore, 8.5) · 3-110 (C Crowe, 13.4)
Recorded target: 116 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 62/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 70/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 82/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 84/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 85/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 109/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 116/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.