Seattle OrcasversusLos Angeles Knight Riders

17 Jul 2024 · T20

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 4 wickets

Seattle Orcas20.0 overs142/6 Los Angeles Knight Riders19.1 overs143/6 Church Street Park, Morrisville ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Seattle Orcas started on 48%; Seattle Orcas batted first.

Seattle Orcas’s chance of winning (%) · Los Angeles Knight Riders is the rest

Seattle Orcas's chances ranged from 1% to 64% during the match (Los Angeles Knight Riders: 37% to 99%).

Biggest swings

3.6: CA Dry to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 50% to 60%.
2nd inns 2.2: L Ngidi to SP Narine, SP Narine out. Seattle Orcas up from 38% to 51%.
2nd inns 17.6: L Ngidi to Saif Badar, six by Saif Badar. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 61% to 93%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Seattle Orcas chose to bat
Player of the match: Ryan Rickelton
match referees: SJA Taufel
reserve umpires: Jermaine Lindo
tv umpires: WR Knights
umpires: BV Taylor, GO Brathwaite

Match history & source

On 17 Jul 2024, Seattle Orcas played Los Angeles Knight Riders at Church Street Park, Morrisville. Recorded result: Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 4 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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