OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Ireland tour of Namibia · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 53%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louren Steenkampcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Jai Moondra 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Jai Moondra | 13 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 68.42 |
 Malan Krugercaught and bowled · Andrew McBrine6 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Andrew McBrine | 42 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 91.30 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · BF Calitz · Curtis Campher 9 fours · 4 sixes | caught · BF Calitz · b Curtis Campher | 126 | 122 | 9 | 4 | 103.28 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · George Dockrell · Gavin Hoey 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · George Dockrell · b Gavin Hoey | 54 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 105.88 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatonstumped · Lorcan Tucker · Andrew McBrine0 fours · 1 sixes |
Namibia's chances ranged from 53% to 99% during the match (Ireland: 1% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| stumped · Lorcan Tucker · b Andrew McBrine |
| 11 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 57.89 |
| A Busing-Volschenkcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Curtis Campher 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Curtis Campher | 36 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 138.46 |
|---|
| JJ Smitrun out · Lorcan Tucker, L McCarthy · Jai Moondra 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lorcan Tucker, L McCarthy | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmannnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Moondra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 4.90 | 1 | 0 |
| L McCarthy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 4.71 | 1 | 0 |
| Gavin Hoey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 8.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 53 | 2 | 5.30 | 1 | 0 |
 George Dockrell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 5.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 68 | 2 | 8.50 | 4 | 0 |
1-33 (Louren Steenkamp, 6.1) · 2-81 (Malan Kruger, 15.5) · 3-183 (Gerhard Erasmus, 33.0) · 4-198 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 37.4) · 5-260 (A Busing-Volschenk, 45.0) · 6-299 (Jan Frylinck, 48.1) · 7-316 (JJ Smit, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 33/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 48/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 54/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 57/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 61/1 |
| 14 | 14 | 75/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 79/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 82/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 96/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 98/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 98/2 |
| 22 | 10 | 108/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 114/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 117/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 122/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 127/2 |
| 27 | 10 | 137/2 |
| 28 | 6 | 143/2 |
| 29 | 5 | 148/2 |
| 30 | 7 | 155/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 160/2 |
| 32 | 10 | 170/2 |
| 33 | 13 | 183/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 186/3 |
| 35 | 8 | 194/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 197/3 |
| 37 | 1 | 198/3 |
| 38 | 0 | 198/4 |
| 39 | 7 | 205/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 209/4 |
| 41 | 3 | 212/4 |
| 42 | 14 | 226/4 |
| 43 | 15 | 241/4 |
| 44 | 7 | 248/4 |
| 45 | 12 | 260/5 |
| 46 | 18 | 278/5 |
| 47 | 10 | 288/5 |
| 48 | 11 | 299/5 |
| 49 | 11 | 310/6 |
| 50 | 6 | 316/7 |
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
