Peshawar ZalmiversusKarachi Kings

9 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Peshawar Zalmi won by 159 runs

Peshawar Zalmi20.0 overs246/3 Karachi Kings16.1 overs87/10 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Peshawar Zalmi started on 46%; Peshawar Zalmi batted first.

Peshawar Zalmi’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Peshawar Zalmi's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Karachi Kings: 0% to 69%).

Biggest swings

0.2: Khushdil Shah to Mohammad Haris, Mohammad Haris out. Karachi Kings up from 54% to 69%.
1.5: Mir Hamza to BKG Mendis, six by BKG Mendis. Peshawar Zalmi up from 34% to 40%.
3.3: Khushdil Shah to Babar Azam, six by Babar Azam. Peshawar Zalmi up from 49% to 54%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.