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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
4 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 56%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 25% to 94% during the match (United States of America: 6% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Milind Kumar · J Drysdale 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b J Drysdale | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Jasdeep Singh · J Drysdale 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b J Drysdale | 50 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 166.67 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · Harmeet Singh 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · b Harmeet Singh | 50 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 121.95 |
| Asif Khancaught · Jasdeep Singh · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Nosthush Kenjige | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Rahul Chopranot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 16 | 2 | 0 | 118.75 |
| Ali Naseercaught · Milind Kumar · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Nosthush Kenjige | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Basil Hameednot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 11 | 2 | 1 | 190.91 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| J Drysdale0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Abhishek Paradkar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-12 (Aryansh Sharma, 2.1) · 2-101 (Waseem Muhammad, 11.1) · 3-121 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 14.1) · 4-127 (Asif Khan, 15.5) · 5-135 (Ali Naseer, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 20 | 78/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 88/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 101/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 105/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 116/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 121/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 123/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 129/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 135/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 144/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 154/5 |
| 20 | 16 | 170/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.