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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
4 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 56%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 25% to 94% during the match (United States of America: 6% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Basil Hameed · Junaid Siddique 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Junaid Siddique | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
| Andries Gouscaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Jawadullah 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Nitish Kumarbowled · Aayan Afzal Khan 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 20 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 86.96 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · Asif Khan · Basil Hameed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Khan · b Basil Hameed | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Shayan Jahangircaught · Rahul Chopra · Basil Hameed 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Basil Hameed | 61 |
| 32 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 190.63 |
| Harmeet Singhrun out · Aryansh Sharma, Muhammad Jawadullah · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Aryansh Sharma, Muhammad Jawadullah | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 107.69 |
|---|
| Utkarsh Srivastavacaught · Rahul Chopra · Basil Hameed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Basil Hameed | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhcaught · Rahul Chopra · Basil Hameed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Basil Hameed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abhishek Paradkarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigebowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| J Drysdalebowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Vishnu Sukumaran0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25.00 | 1 | 1 |
1-33 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 3.3) · 2-33 (Andries Gous, 4.2) · 3-56 (Milind Kumar, 7.5) · 4-72 (Nitish Kumar, 10.4) · 5-140 (Harmeet Singh, 16.0) · 6-144 (Shayan Jahangir, 16.4) · 7-144 (Jasdeep Singh, 16.5) · 8-157 (Utkarsh Srivastava, 19.0) · 9-164 (Nosthush Kenjige, 19.3) · 10-164 (J Drysdale, 19.4)
Recorded target: 171 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 56/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 59/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 69/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 74/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 13 | 25 | 101/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 111/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 124/4 |
| 16 | 16 | 140/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 145/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 151/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 157/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 164/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.