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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
15 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 63%; Nepal batted first.
Nepal's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Dipendra Singh Airee · Sompal Kami 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dipendra Singh Airee · b Sompal Kami | 14 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 127.27 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Kushal Bhurtel · Nandan Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Nandan Yadav | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
| AR Bishtcaught · Aarif Sheikh · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aarif Sheikh · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 78.57 |
| Aamir Kaleemrun out · Dipendra Singh Airee · Dipendra Singh Airee 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dipendra Singh Airee | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Mohammad Nadeemcaught · Rohit Kumar · Gulsan Jha 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rohit Kumar · b Gulsan Jha | 25 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 80.65 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)bowled · Gulsan Jha 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gulsan Jha | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Vinayak Shuklacaught · Gulsan Jha · Sompal Kami 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Gulsan Jha · b Sompal Kami | 32 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 168.42 |
|---|
| Jiten Ramanandibowled · Gulsan Jha 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gulsan Jha | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sufyan Mehmoodcaught · Kushal Bhurtel · Nandan Yadav 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Nandan Yadav | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmednot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shah Faisalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sompal Kami0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nandan Yadav0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Kushal Malla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Gulsan Jha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Kushal Bhurtel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Jatinder Singh, 2.4) · 2-21 (Hammad Mirza, 3.4) · 3-27 (Aamir Kaleem, 5.1) · 4-38 (AR Bisht, 8.2) · 5-41 (Nadeem Khan (2), 9.3) · 6-70 (Mohammad Nadeem, 13.4) · 7-70 (Jiten Ramanandi, 13.5) · 8-102 (Vinayak Shukla, 17.4) · 9-106 (Sufyan Mehmood, 18.1)
Recorded target: 152 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 40/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 43/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 48/5 |
| 12 | 12 | 60/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 64/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 70/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 79/7 |
| 16 | 11 | 90/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 106/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 107/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 113/9 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Aadil Alam: Madhesh Province Cricket · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
