Sunrisers HyderabadversusRajasthan Royals

2 May 2024 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 1 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs201/3 Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs200/7 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 38%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 7% to 86% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 14% to 93%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.6: PJ Cummins to R Powell, six by R Powell. Rajasthan Royals up from 17% to 36%.
2nd inns 19.3: B Kumar to R Powell, four by R Powell. Rajasthan Royals up from 34% to 59%.
2nd inns 19.6: B Kumar to R Powell, R Powell out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 27% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad201/3 Rajasthan Royals200/7

Innings 1