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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
18 Jan 2025 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 54%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 89% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 12% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan McSweeneybowled · Adam Zampa 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Adam Zampa | 29 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 111.54 |
| Jack Woodcaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · C Stow 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b C Stow | 45 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 166.67 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Tom Rogers · C Stow2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b C Stow | 40 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 181.82 |
| Daniel Drewstumped · Tim Seifert · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Tim Seifert · b Adam Zampa | 16 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
 |
| not out |
| 42* |
| 26 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 161.54 |
| Max Bryantnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 2 | 0 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 6.80 | 2 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 15.18 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 3 | 0 |
| C Stow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Brown0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 18.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-62 (Nathan McSweeney, 7.3) · 2-125 (Jack Wood, 12.1) · 3-128 (Matt Renshaw, 12.5) · 4-159 (Daniel Drew, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 48/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 10 | 21 | 92/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 103/1 |
| 12 | 22 | 125/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 129/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 134/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 138/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 150/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 159/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 170/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 179/4 |
| 20 | 17 | 196/4 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oliver Peake: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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