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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
18 Jan 2025 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 54%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 89% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 12% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Paul Walter · Michael Neser 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Michael Neser | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Josh Browncaught · Nathan McSweeney · Xavier Bartlett 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Xavier Bartlett | 32 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 290.91 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught · Matt Renshaw · Paul Walter 5 fours · 8 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Paul Walter | 95 | 46 | 5 | 8 | 206.52 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 19 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90.48 |
| Tim Seifertbowled · Spencer Johnson0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Spencer Johnson |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Harry Dixoncaught · Matt Renshaw · Michael Neser 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Michael Neser | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Paul Walter | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 216.67 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Fergus O'Neillnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 12.67 | 1 | 1 | |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Tawanda Muyeye, 2.1) · 2-45 (Josh Brown, 3.3) · 3-129 (Oliver Peake, 11.2) · 4-129 (Tim Seifert, 11.3) · 5-161 (Harry Dixon, 14.4) · 6-181 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 16.3) · 7-182 (Will Sutherland, 16.5)
Recorded target: 197 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 45/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 51/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 15 | 83/2 |
| 9 | 16 | 99/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 108/2 |
| 11 | 21 | 129/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 132/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 136/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 150/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 167/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 179/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 183/7 |
| 18 | 16 | 199/7 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oliver Peake: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.