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Central American Cricket Championships · 2025 · Men
17 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Panama more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Panama started on 65%; Panama batted first.
Panama's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (Turks and Caicos Island: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Brunobowled · Sanjay Kumar Ahir 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sanjay Kumar Ahir | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| A McKnightcaught · FL Patel · Ronitkumar Ahir 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · FL Patel · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 40 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 95.24 |
| M Smithcaught · P Suman Bhai Ahir · Ronitkumar Ahir 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · P Suman Bhai Ahir · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 17 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 80.95 |
| S Hunterrun out · A Natubhai Ahir, LR Gaonkar · Irfan Hafejee 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Natubhai Ahir, LR Gaonkar | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| E Henrybowled · Sohel Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sohel Patel | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| bowled · b Sohel Patel |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| D St Angecaught · Breeze Ahir · Ronitkumar Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Breeze Ahir · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| G Campbellbowled · Ronitkumar Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| G Kuthalinghamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| D Bournebowled · Irfan Hafejee 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Irfan Hafejee | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| R Johnsoncaught · Irfan Hafejee · A Natubhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Irfan Hafejee · b A Natubhai Ahir | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanjay Kumar Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| FL Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Natubhai Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 5.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronitkumar Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sohel Patel0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 6 | 1 |
| Irfan Hafejee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (G Bruno, 0.4) · 2-48 (M Smith, 8.0) · 3-54 (S Hunter, 9.4) · 4-58 (E Henry, 10.4) · 5-80 (J Daley, 13.0) · 6-81 (D St Ange, 13.3) · 7-86 (G Campbell, 15.2) · 8-87 (A McKnight, 15.4) · 9-95 (D Bourne, 17.3) · 10-96 (R Johnson, 18.2)
Recorded target: 146 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 54/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 80/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 82/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 85/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 88/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 92/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 96/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 96/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.