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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
13 Jan 2025 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Auckland started on 48%; Auckland batted first.
Auckland's chances ranged from 0% to 80% during the match (Northern Districts: 20% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 13 Jan 2025, Auckland played Northern Districts at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Recorded result: Northern Districts won by 5 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.