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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
New Road, Worcester · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 47%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 19% to 99% during the match (Worcestershire: 2% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willeycaught · Rob Jones · Adam Finch3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rob Jones · b Adam Finch | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Nathan Smith · Tom Taylor 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Tom Taylor | 52 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 120.93 |
| George Bartlettbowled · Hayden Walsh, Jr. 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayden Walsh, Jr. | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Ravi Boparacaught · Adam Hose · Ethan Brookes0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Hose · b Ethan Brookes | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| caught · Nathan Smith · b Tom Taylor |
| 43 |
| 34 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 126.47 |
| Saif Zaiblbw · Adam Finch 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adam Finch | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Lewis McManusnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Justin Broadnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Finch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan Brookes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Hayden Walsh, Jr.0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (David Willey, 5.0) · 2-47 (George Bartlett, 7.4) · 3-50 (Ravi Bopara, 8.4) · 4-125 (Matthew Breetzke, 17.3) · 5-128 (Sikandar Raza, 18.0) · 6-128 (Saif Zaib, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 71/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 79/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 88/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 97/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 17 | 16 | 122/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 128/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 133/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 143/6 |
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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