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Photo: Phanidharvaranasi
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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
25 Jan 2024 · Test
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Mohammed Siraj · Ravichandran Ashwin3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 20 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Ben Duckettlbw · Ravichandran Ashwin7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 35 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 89.74 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Rohit Sharma · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Ravindra Jadeja | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
| caught · Jasprit Bumrah · b Ravindra Jadeja |
| 29 |
| 60 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 48.33 |
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Axar Patel5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Axar Patel | 37 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 63.79 |
|---|
 Ben Stokesbowled · Jasprit Bumrah6 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 70 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 79.55 |
|---|
 Ben Foakescaught · Srikar Bharat · Axar Patel0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Srikar Bharat · b Axar Patel | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Srikar Bharat · Jasprit Bumrah1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Srikar Bharat · b Jasprit Bumrah | 13 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 72.22 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleybowled · Ravindra Jadeja2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 23 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 95.83 |
|---|
 Mark Woodbowled · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 11 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 45.83 |
|---|
 Jack Leachnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 18.0 | 4 | 88 | 3 | 4.89 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 1 | 68 | 3 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 2.54 | 0 | 0 |
1-55 (Ben Duckett, 11.5) · 2-58 (Ollie Pope, 14.4) · 3-60 (Zak Crawley, 15.1) · 4-121 (Jonny Bairstow, 32.4) · 5-125 (Joe Root, 35.3) · 6-137 (Ben Foakes, 42.5) · 7-155 (Rehan Ahmed, 48.3) · 8-193 (Tom Hartley, 55.0) · 9-234 (Mark Wood, 61.3) · 10-246 (Ben Stokes, 64.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 41/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 42/0 |
| 11 | 11 | 53/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 58/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 61/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 72/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 74/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 76/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 80/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 86/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 92/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 99/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 100/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 102/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 108/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 112/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 118/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 118/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 121/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 123/4 |
| 35 | 2 | 125/4 |
| 36 | 0 | 125/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 128/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 131/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 133/5 |
| 40 | 0 | 133/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 135/5 |
| 42 | 2 | 137/5 |
| 43 | 0 | 137/6 |
| 44 | 3 | 140/6 |
| 45 | 2 | 142/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 144/6 |
| 47 | 6 | 150/6 |
| 48 | 4 | 154/6 |
| 49 | 1 | 155/7 |
| 50 | 5 | 160/7 |
| 51 | 4 | 164/7 |
| 52 | 1 | 165/7 |
| 53 | 9 | 174/7 |
| 54 | 10 | 184/7 |
| 55 | 9 | 193/8 |
| 56 | 3 | 196/8 |
| 57 | 14 | 210/8 |
| 58 | 5 | 215/8 |
| 59 | 0 | 215/8 |
| 60 | 5 | 220/8 |
| 61 | 13 | 233/8 |
| 62 | 1 | 234/9 |
| 63 | 1 | 235/9 |
| 64 | 7 | 242/9 |
| 65 | 4 | 246/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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