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Photo: Phanidharvaranasi
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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
25 Jan 2024 · Test
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rohit Sharmalbw · Tom Hartley7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Hartley | 39 | 58 | 7 | 0 | 67.24 |
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Ollie Pope · Tom Hartley2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Tom Hartley | 15 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Ollie Pope · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Tom Hartley | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Joe Root |
| 22 |
| 48 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 45.83 |
 Axar Patelcaught and bowled · Tom Hartley3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tom Hartley | 17 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 40.48 |
|---|
 Shreyas Iyercaught · Joe Root · Jack Leach1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Jack Leach | 13 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 41.94 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejarun out · Ben Stokes · Joe Root0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Stokes | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
| Srikar Bharatbowled · Tom Hartley 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Hartley | 28 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 47.46 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwinstumped · Ben Foakes · Tom Hartley2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ben Foakes · b Tom Hartley | 28 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 18 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajstumped · Ben Foakes · Tom Hartley1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ben Foakes · b Tom Hartley | 12 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 14 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Joe Root3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 2.16 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark Wood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley5 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 26.2 | 5 | 62 | 7 | 2.35 | 0 | 1 |
 Jack Leach1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 3.30 | 1 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 11.4) · 2-42 (Shubman Gill, 12.0) · 3-63 (Rohit Sharma, 17.5) · 4-95 (Axar Patel, 29.4) · 5-107 (KL Rahul, 32.4) · 6-119 (Ravindra Jadeja, 38.1) · 7-119 (Shreyas Iyer, 40.2) · 8-176 (Srikar Bharat, 62.0) · 9-177 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 63.2) · 10-202 (Mohammed Siraj, 69.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 32/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 35/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 38/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 48/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 53/2 |
| 17 | 10 | 63/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 63/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 20 | 0 | 65/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 67/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 73/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 81/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 81/3 |
| 27 | 13 | 94/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 95/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 95/3 |
| 30 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 97/4 |
| 32 | 5 | 102/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 107/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 108/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 109/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 112/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 115/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 39 | 0 | 119/6 |
| 40 | 0 | 119/6 |
| 41 | 1 | 120/7 |
| 42 | 0 | 120/7 |
| 43 | 1 | 121/7 |
| 44 | 1 | 122/7 |
| 45 | 1 | 123/7 |
| 46 | 2 | 125/7 |
| 47 | 6 | 131/7 |
| 48 | 3 | 134/7 |
| 49 | 2 | 136/7 |
| 50 | 2 | 138/7 |
| 51 | 2 | 140/7 |
| 52 | 1 | 141/7 |
| 53 | 1 | 142/7 |
| 54 | 1 | 143/7 |
| 55 | 1 | 144/7 |
| 56 | 0 | 144/7 |
| 57 | 9 | 153/7 |
| 58 | 2 | 155/7 |
| 59 | 6 | 161/7 |
| 60 | 3 | 164/7 |
| 61 | 9 | 173/7 |
| 62 | 3 | 176/8 |
| 63 | 1 | 177/8 |
| 64 | 5 | 182/9 |
| 65 | 6 | 188/9 |
| 66 | 1 | 189/9 |
| 67 | 2 | 191/9 |
| 68 | 8 | 199/9 |
| 69 | 3 | 202/9 |
| 70 | 0 | 202/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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