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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
24 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 24%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 20% to 98% during the match (Ireland: 2% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunternot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 35* | 25 | 4 | 1 | 140.00 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught · Fargana Hoque · Rabeya Khan 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fargana Hoque · b Rabeya Khan | 73 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 125.86 |
| Orla Prendergastlbw · Shorna Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shorna Akter | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Leah Paulstumped · Nigar Sultana · Shorna Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Nigar Sultana · b Shorna Akter | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Laura Delanyrun out · Fahima Khatun, Nahida Akter · Nahida Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fahima Khatun, Nahida Akter | 13 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 72.22 |
| not out |
| 8* |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 160.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Moni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Shorna Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-71 (Orla Prendergast, 10.4) · 2-71 (Leah Paul, 11.0) · 3-118 (Laura Delany, 17.3) · 4-127 (Gaby Lewis, 18.4)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 58/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 68/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 72/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 86/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 91/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 99/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 111/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 115/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 119/3 |
| 19 | 15 | 134/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 144/4 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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