Adelaide StrikersversusMelbourne Stars

31 Oct 2026 · T20

Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Adelaide Strikers won by 21 runs

Adelaide Strikers20.0 overs185/2 Melbourne Stars20.0 overs164/7 Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Adelaide Strikers started on 55%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.

Adelaide Strikers’s chance of winning (%) · Melbourne Stars is the rest

Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 8.3: A Wellington to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. Adelaide Strikers up from 45% to 59%.
2nd inns 8.6: A Wellington to AE Jones, AE Jones out. Adelaide Strikers up from 59% to 71%.
2nd inns 14.4: A Wellington to A Sutherland, A Sutherland out. Adelaide Strikers up from 67% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 1

Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars Highlights | WBBL|12 | Fox Cricket

Fox Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-31

Adelaide Strikers185/2 Melbourne Stars164/7

Innings 2

Melbourne Stars

164/720.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Melbourne Stars batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Rhys McKennabowled · Sophie Ecclestone 7 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Sophie Ecclestone	40	31	7	0	129.03
Meg Lanninglbw · Amanda-Jade Wellington 6 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Amanda-Jade Wellington	32	24	6	0	133.33
Amy Jonescaught · Sophie Ecclestone · Amanda-Jade Wellington 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Sophie Ecclestone · b Amanda-Jade Wellington	2	3	0	0	66.67
Annabel Sutherland

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Eleanor Larosa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	23	2	5.75	1
Anesu Mushangwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	34	0	11.33	0
Sophie Ecclestone0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	25	2	6.25	2
Madeline Penna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	0	10.00	1
Tahlia McGrath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	19	0	9.50	0
Amanda-Jade Wellington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	3	7.00	0
Ella Wilson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	9	0	9.00	1

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	6	6/0
2	5	11/0
3	5	16/0
4	15	31/0
5	11	42/0
6	14	56/0
7	7	63/0
8	12	75/0
9	4	79/2
10	9	88/2
11	4	92/3
12	14	106/3
13	5	111/3
14	9	120/3
15	6	126/4
16	1	127/6
17	9	136/6
18	12	148/6
19	8	156/7
20	8	164/7

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