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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
17 Jun 2025 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 51%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Hampshire: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Reece Topley · Will Jacks 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Reece Topley · b Will Jacks | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 147.37 |
 James Vincecaught · Chris Jordan · Reece Topley1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Reece Topley | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Toby Albertcaught · Laurie Evans · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Nathan Smith | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Joe Weatherleycaught · Ollie Sykes · Chris Jordan 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Sykes · b Chris Jordan | 27 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 142.11 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · Nathan Smith · Chris Jordan 0 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Nathan Smith · b Chris Jordan |
| 16 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 160.00 |
| James Fullercaught · Will Jacks · Mitchell Santner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Mitchell Santner | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
 Benny Howellcaught · Jason Roy · Nathan Smith1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Nathan Smith | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Liam Dawsoncaught · Sam Curran · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Reece Topley | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Chris Woodbowled · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Scott Currienot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| John Turnercaught · Chris Jordan · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Nathan Smith | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 6.35 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-31 (LG Pretorius, 3.4) · 2-37 (James Vince, 4.5) · 3-45 (Toby Albert, 6.0) · 4-74 (Dewald Brevis, 9.1) · 5-91 (Joe Weatherley, 11.4) · 6-97 (James Fuller, 12.5) · 7-98 (Liam Dawson, 13.1) · 8-103 (Chris Wood, 14.3) · 9-112 (Benny Howell, 15.3) · 10-124 (John Turner, 17.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 15 | 64/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 74/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 88/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 93/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 98/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 101/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 110/8 |
| 16 | 7 | 117/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 119/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 124/10 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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