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Photo: আফতাবুজ্জামান
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of Bangladesh · 2026 · Men
16 May 2026 · Test
Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Bangladesh more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Salman Ali Agha · Mohammad Abbas0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tanzid Hasancaught and bowled · Mohammad Abbas 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mohammad Abbas | 26 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 76.47 |
 Mominul Haquebowled · Khurram Shehzad3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khurram Shehzad | 22 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 53.66 |
 |
| caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas |
| 29 |
| 74 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 39.19 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimlbw · Khurram Shehzad2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Khurram Shehzad | 23 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 35.94 |
|---|
 Litton Dascaught · Abdullah Fazal · Hasan Ali16 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abdullah Fazal · b Hasan Ali | 126 | 159 | 16 | 2 | 79.25 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Hasan Ali · Khurram Shehzad0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Khurram Shehzad | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Taijul Islambowled · Sajid Khan2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Khan | 16 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmedcaught · Salman Ali Agha · Khurram Shehzad1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Khurram Shehzad | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
 Shariful Islamnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 30 | 2 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Nahid Ranacaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Abbas3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 3 | 45 | 3 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Khurram Shehzad1 maidens · 1 wides · 4 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 81 | 4 | 4.76 | 1 | 4 |
 Hasan Ali1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.5 | 1 | 49 | 2 | 4.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Salman Ali Agha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Sajid Khan1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 31.0 | 1 | 96 | 1 | 3.10 | 0 | 1 |
1-0 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 0.2) · 2-44 (Tanzid Hasan, 10.0) · 3-63 (Mominul Haque, 16.0) · 4-106 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 32.2) · 5-110 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 36.3) · 6-116 (Mehedi Hasan, 38.2) · 7-176 (Taijul Islam, 57.1) · 8-214 (Taskin Ahmed, 64.1) · 9-278 (Litton Das, 76.2) · 10-278 (Nahid Rana, 77.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 42/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 44/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 52/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 53/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 63/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 66/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 22 | 9 | 89/3 |
| 23 | 5 | 94/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 25 | 0 | 99/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 101/3 |
| 27 | 0 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 102/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 104/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 105/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 105/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 105/3 |
| 33 | 1 | 106/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 107/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 108/4 |
| 36 | 1 | 109/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 112/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 114/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 116/6 |
| 40 | 1 | 117/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 122/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 127/6 |
| 43 | 3 | 130/6 |
| 44 | 1 | 131/6 |
| 45 | 11 | 142/6 |
| 46 | 5 | 147/6 |
| 47 | 5 | 152/6 |
| 48 | 1 | 153/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 156/6 |
| 50 | 3 | 159/6 |
| 51 | 4 | 163/6 |
| 52 | 2 | 165/6 |
| 53 | 1 | 166/6 |
| 54 | 2 | 168/6 |
| 55 | 5 | 173/6 |
| 56 | 1 | 174/6 |
| 57 | 2 | 176/6 |
| 58 | 6 | 182/7 |
| 59 | 6 | 188/7 |
| 60 | 2 | 190/7 |
| 61 | 1 | 191/7 |
| 62 | 5 | 196/7 |
| 63 | 10 | 206/7 |
| 64 | 8 | 214/7 |
| 65 | 0 | 214/8 |
| 66 | 1 | 215/8 |
| 67 | 7 | 222/8 |
| 68 | 11 | 233/8 |
| 69 | 5 | 238/8 |
| 70 | 5 | 243/8 |
| 71 | 11 | 254/8 |
| 72 | 1 | 255/8 |
| 73 | 4 | 259/8 |
| 74 | 4 | 263/8 |
| 75 | 8 | 271/8 |
| 76 | 6 | 277/8 |
| 77 | 1 | 278/10 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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