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Singapore Women tour of Japan · 2024/25 · Women
2 Oct 2024 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Japan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Singapore started on 20%; Singapore batted first.
Singapore's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (Japan: 80% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSR Gurusinghelbw · A Chandel 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b A Chandel | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Diviya G Kcaught · Seika Sumi · A Chandel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Seika Sumi · b A Chandel | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Vinu Kumarcaught · H Iwasaki · S Kato 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Iwasaki · b S Kato | 13 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 59.09 |
| DA Galiabowled · A Chandel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Chandel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| RR Sethbowled · Kurumi Ota 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kurumi Ota | 21 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 84.00 |
| Shafina Maheshbowled · Mai Yanagida2 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Mai Yanagida |
| 13 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 72.22 |
| LAR Bommareddynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 24 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| I Shuklarun out · H Iwasaki, A Kano · Mai Yanagida 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · H Iwasaki, A Kano | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| JS Pooranakaranbowled · E Kusuda-Nairn 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Kusuda-Nairn | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| C Boylebowled · Kurumi Ota 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kurumi Ota | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| E Ungermannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Chandel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| E Kusuda-Nairn0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 5 | 0 |
| S Kato0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Kiyo Fujikawa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurumi Ota0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Mai Yanagida0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.67 | 4 | 1 |
1-0 (PSR Gurusinghe, 0.5) · 2-6 (Diviya G K, 2.5) · 3-6 (DA Galia, 3.0) · 4-27 (Vinu Kumar, 7.0) · 5-54 (RR Seth, 12.1) · 6-56 (Shafina Mahesh, 13.3) · 7-59 (I Shukla, 15.5) · 8-66 (JS Pooranakaran, 17.3) · 9-72 (C Boyle, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 10/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 13/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 21/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 27/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 37/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 48/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 54/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 55/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 56/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 57/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 62/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 64/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 67/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 70/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 76/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.