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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
2 Feb 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Central Districts: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Hay · b William O’Rourke | 35 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 109.38 |
| Jack Boylebowled · Kyle Jamieson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Jamieson | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Dane Cleavercaught · Matt Boyle · Kyle Jamieson 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Kyle Jamieson | 43 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 126.47 |
| Tom Brucecaught · Cole McConchie · Henry Shipley 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b Henry Shipley | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 82.35 |
| Will Clarknot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 170.00 |
| Curtis Heaphynot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 12.75 | 6 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Henry Shipley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Jack Boyle, 1.1) · 2-83 (Dane Cleaver, 10.5) · 3-97 (Will Young, 12.5) · 4-127 (Tom Bruce, 16.2)
Recorded target: 136 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 73/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 75/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 84/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 95/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 100/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 113/3 |
| 16 | 14 | 127/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 132/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 136/4 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.