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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 70%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 70% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 30%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walid Ghauricaught · Musa Shaheen · Surya Anand 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Musa Shaheen · b Surya Anand | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Wahidullah Sahakbowled · Saif Ahmad 6 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Saif Ahmad | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 179.17 |
| D Abeyrathnacaught · Musa Shaheen · Nicholas Sonne-Rudd 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Musa Shaheen · b Nicholas Sonne-Rudd | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
 Khizer Ahmedlbw · Saud Munir0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saud Munir | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Hayatullah Niazibowled · Saif Ahmad 3 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Saif Ahmad | 53 |
| 29 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 182.76 |
| Faisal Razarun out · Taranjit Bharaj · Lucky Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Taranjit Bharaj | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rahimicaught · Nicholas Sonne-Rudd · Abdullah Mahmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicholas Sonne-Rudd · b Abdullah Mahmood | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Qamar Mushtaquecaught · Lucky Ali · Abdullah Mahmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lucky Ali · b Abdullah Mahmood | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Vinay Ravicaught · Lucky Ali · Saif Ahmad 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lucky Ali · b Saif Ahmad | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| M Shahbaz Buttnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Ahmadullah Shinwaricaught · Saif Ahmad · Abdullah Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saif Ahmad · b Abdullah Mahmood | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surya Anand0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nicholas Sonne-Rudd0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 6 | 1 |
| Saud Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucky Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdullah Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamid Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Walid Ghauri, 2.2) · 2-53 (D Abeyrathna, 5.4) · 3-62 (Khizer Ahmed, 6.2) · 4-80 (Wahidullah Sahak, 9.1) · 5-107 (Faisal Raza, 11.0) · 6-111 (Ibrahim Rahimi, 11.4) · 7-119 (Qamar Mushtaque, 13.1) · 8-147 (Hayatullah Niazi, 16.1) · 9-148 (Vinay Ravi, 16.4) · 10-149 (Ahmadullah Shinwari, 17.4)
Recorded target: 204 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 62/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 66/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 80/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 20 | 107/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 112/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 119/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 126/7 |
| 15 | 11 | 137/7 |
| 16 | 10 | 147/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 149/9 |
| 18 | 0 | 149/10 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
