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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
1 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 50%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Central Districts: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Dean Foxcroft · Josh Clarkson 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Dean Foxcroft · b Josh Clarkson | 62 | 37 | 4 | 4 | 167.57 |
3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Josh Clarkson | 43 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 165.38 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Will Young · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Ajaz Patel | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Cole McConchienot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 35* | 21 | 3 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Josh Clarkson · Brett Randell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Clarkson · b Brett Randell |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Dean Foxcroft · Jayden Lennox 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dean Foxcroft · b Jayden Lennox | 31 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 193.75 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jayden Lennox | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Clarkson · b Jayden Lennox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Paulnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Clarkson0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 4 | 0 |
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| TA Findlay0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-92 (Tom Latham, 8.4) · 2-119 (Chad Bowes, 11.4) · 3-139 (Henry Nicholls, 14.2) · 4-144 (Matt Boyle, 15.2) · 5-175 (Mitchell Hay, 18.1) · 6-179 (Kyle Jamieson, 18.5) · 7-179 (Ish Sodhi, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 46/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 52/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 65/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 74/0 |
| 8 | 16 | 90/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 94/1 |
| 10 | 17 | 111/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 114/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 120/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 129/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 138/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 143/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 149/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 152/4 |
| 18 | 23 | 175/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 179/7 |
| 20 | 15 | 194/7 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.