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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
1 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 50%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Central Districts: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngcaught · Chad Bowes · Cole McConchie0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Chad Bowes · b Cole McConchie | 37 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 137.04 |
| Curtis Heaphybowled · Kyle Jamieson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Jamieson | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Dane Cleavercaught · Mitchell Hay · Fraser Sheat 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Hay · b Fraser Sheat | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dean Foxcroftcaught · Fraser Sheat · Ish Sodhi 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fraser Sheat · b Ish Sodhi | 57 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 139.02 |
| Josh Clarksoncaught · Matt Boyle · Ish Sodhi 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| Will Clarkcaught · Matt Boyle · Cameron Paul 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Cameron Paul | 42 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| AR Schawcaught · Cole McConchie · Michael Rae 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b Michael Rae | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Brett Randellbowled · Cameron Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cameron Paul | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Jayden Lennoxnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Jamieson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Fraser Sheat0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Rae0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Curtis Heaphy, 0.5) · 2-4 (Dane Cleaver, 1.4) · 3-96 (Will Young, 12.0) · 4-103 (Dean Foxcroft, 13.3) · 5-104 (Josh Clarkson, 13.5) · 6-129 (AR Schaw, 16.4) · 7-157 (Will Clark, 19.1) · 8-158 (Brett Randell, 20.0)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 57/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 68/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 82/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 104/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 111/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 124/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 131/6 |
| 18 | 20 | 151/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 157/6 |
| 20 | 1 | 158/8 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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