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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 31%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Philippecaught · Ben Duckett · Tom Curran 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Tom Curran | 42 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 182.61 |
 James Vincenot out12 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 101* | 58 | 12 | 4 | 174.14 |
 Moisés Henriquescaught · Ben Duckett · Usama Mir2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Usama Mir | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Jordan Silknot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 34* | 19 | 3 | 1 | 178.95 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Glenn Maxwell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 6 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Warren0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 11.08 | 0 | 0 |
1-83 (Josh Philippe, 8.0) · 2-99 (Moisés Henriques, 10.4)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 64/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 73/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 83/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 94/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 97/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 124/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 134/2 |
| 15 | 25 | 159/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 169/2 |
| 17 | 12 | 181/2 |
| 18 | 13 | 194/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 198/2 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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