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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Bangladesh tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
27 Sept 2024 · Test
Green Park, Kanpur · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadman Islamcaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Akash Deep 10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Akash Deep | 50 | 101 | 10 | 0 | 49.50 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
| caught · KL Rahul · b Ravichandran Ashwin |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 19 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 51.35 |
|---|
7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 37 | 63 | 7 | 0 | 58.73 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Ravindra Jadeja | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasprit Bumrah | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 1.70 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15.0 | 3 | 50 | 3 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| Akash Deep3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 1 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10.0 | 2 | 34 | 3 | 3.40 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Zakir Hasan, 7.1) · 2-26 (Hasan Mahmud, 9.4) · 3-36 (Mominul Haque, 13.3) · 4-91 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 27.2) · 5-93 (Shadman Islam, 28.4) · 6-94 (Litton Das, 30.0) · 7-94 (Shakib Al Hasan, 31.2) · 8-118 (Mehedi Hasan, 36.3) · 9-130 (Taijul Islam, 40.4) · 10-146 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 47.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 22/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 26/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 26/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 31/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 36/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 36/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 38/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 42/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 49/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 50/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 61/3 |
| 22 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 79/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 87/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 93/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 94/5 |
| 30 | 0 | 94/6 |
| 31 | 0 | 94/6 |
| 32 | 0 | 94/7 |
| 33 | 4 | 98/7 |
| 34 | 6 | 104/7 |
| 35 | 10 | 114/7 |
| 36 | 4 | 118/7 |
| 37 | 0 | 118/8 |
| 38 | 8 | 126/8 |
| 39 | 0 | 126/8 |
| 40 | 4 | 130/8 |
| 41 | 0 | 130/9 |
| 42 | 1 | 131/9 |
| 43 | 1 | 132/9 |
| 44 | 1 | 133/9 |
| 45 | 1 | 134/9 |
| 46 | 7 | 141/9 |
| 47 | 5 | 146/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.